My point was, multi-candidate primaries often define “winning” (as they did constantly with Romney) has having 25%-30% support - which is fine if the candidate is everyone else’s second choice.
And let me inbefore everyone points out a lot of Democrats in NH voted for Haley - true but a minor factor in my heavily Republican town, Trump + Haley got 2100 votes and Biden got 778 write-ins, which is about the party registration breakdown. Of Haley’s 1000 votes, most of them had to be from registered Republicans unless you believe a lot of Republicans wrote in Biden.
There is some pearl clutching going on here.
President Trump may well lose your town to Biden—he is not going to win everywhere.
In addition it is March. Nobody knows what new issues will become important between now and then.
Just hold those pearls tight between now and then.
I live in CT btw.
I am not going to waste everybody’s time explaining the obvious—President Trump is not going to win my state.
No in depth demographic analysis is needed.
In my state the legislature just voted to put tampons in the boys rooms in every public school.
Meanwhile they are busy trying to figure out how to mandate electric vehicles.
Some places are just not Trump country—it is what it is.