Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states

Morning Consult ^ | 2/29/24 | NA

[Redmen4ever]

AZ +6, GA +6, MI +2, NC +9, PA +6, WI +4

[Buckeye Battle Cry]

Don’t worry, Fulton County, Milwaukee County, Madison County, Wayne County, Maricopa County and the three counties of Greater Philadelphia all have the steal in place. Somewhere Mitch McConnell and Mitt Romney nod in approval.

[OA5599]

At no point during the 2020 cycle was Trump leading Biden in the swing state polls with the exception of GA, and at no point was Trump ahead in the National/popular vote polls.

Even still, Trump outperformed the polls once the votes were tallied, despite losing.

So he was always behind in polls and outperformed the polls (whether or not there was fraud).

Now he’s ahead in the polls. So if he similarly outperforms the polls…

[Redmen4ever]

First of about ten so far comments to the effect the Democrats will cheat bigger than Trump’s margin in the polls.

What happened in 2020? Did the Democrats cheat bigger than Trump’s margin in the polls?

[mikelets456]

Trump leads Biden in 7 swing states.....until mail in ballots are counted.

Biden will “unexpectedly” get 99.9% of the vote.

[nwrep]

I don’t understand the sudden strength in Nevada in all these polls.

[Empire_of_Liberty]

Thank you for the information. I wanted to list the cheat mechanisms I thought were used by Democrats to crucial advantage in 2020 in these states, to see if I am close:

AZ - Insider Vote Counting Control, Arbitration
GA - insider Vote Counting Control, Voting Machine Stuffing
MI - Dominion
NC - ???
PA - Judicial Interference, Post Office
WI - Dominion

Please feel free to correct or ignore my errors. :-)

[nwrep]

Don’t forget Florida, Florida, Florida.

[Dan in Wichita]

Don’t forget Florida, Florida, Florida.

Yes, absolutely!

[Recovering_Democrat]

When fraud and other illegal votes are factored in, Biden takes the lead by an average of 9 points.

[bigbob]

Biden won’t be the candidate so this is meaningless.

[HandBasketHell]

Are these figures beyond the fraud factor? We have to win states by margins great enough to overcome Rat Party fraud.

With cheat-by-mail-in ballots, there is no fraud factor.

There will never again be a winner announced on the night of Election Day. The "counting" will be slow-walked for a week until enough mail-ins are found to put the Democrat in the lead. And it won't matter if 120% of registered voters are found to have cast "ballots." No lower court hack judge will allow an audit because of that. And the legal challenges will go on for years.

And don't blame Democrats. RINOs looked the other way in 2020 with the cheat-by-mail-in ballots brought about by the scamdemic because they were happy for them to be used against Trump. The same thing happened in 2022 with Kari Lake.

All these articles that have been in the press about Democrats being terrified of losing in November are pure bunk.

[FreeReign]

Don’t forget, NV +6.

[Dan in Wichita]

You’re right! There is no hope. Might as well wave the surrender flag now. /sarc

[deport]

North Carolina dates

2024 Election Dates:
Early Voting for the Statewide Primary: February 15, 2024 to March 2, 2024

Statewide Primary Election Day: March 5, 2024*

Statewide Second Primary (if ordered): Thursday, March 28, 2024

Statewide General Election Day: November 5, 2024

I would guess that other states have their info available

https://www.darenc.gov/departments/elections/election-information

[Ingtar]

Difficult to overcome the fraud, especially in six of those seven where most of the shenanigans happened last time. They have no shame. No margin of cheating will be off the table.

[Redmen4ever]

I’ll answer the question: Trump over-performed the polls in all the battle ground states in 2020 except Ga. The election was supposed to be a blowout. Instead, it was close. Trump is now AHEAD in the polls. Unless things change, Trump will win the battle ground states by comfortable margins, and pick up some light blue states such as CO, ME, MN, NH, NM, OR and VA. Not that any of this be easy. The Democrats have their usual advantages in money, the media, and turning out the vote (e.g., dead people).

We’re early this year; but, maybe not. We have a president and a former president running. I suspect many people have already made up their minds. The big uncertainties, it seems to me, are whether the Democrats will swap Biden out “at the last minute;” and, what impact RFK Jr and possibly other candidates will have on the election.

Public polling suggests that a last minute replacement would hurt the Democrats, and that RFK Jr, etc., hurt Biden. (There might be private polls and focus groups that suggest the contrary, but I’m not aware of any such things.)

Inflation continues to outpace wages, illegal immigration is increasingly recognized to be an unmitigated disaster, Democrat-controlled cities have mounting problems of crime, homelessness and filth, the culture war has turned ugly, political corruption is increasingly obvious, and the world has become very dangerous. Besides all this, Biden is not physically or mentally up to the job.

[cableguymn]

I fear no poll lead is enough to overcome the fraud.

No matter how many votes trump or any Republican gets. The Democrat will get more.

[ckilmer]

The question is what do the pubs need to overcome the illegal akin vote

[Redmen4ever]

I don’t know if you’re one of the many Putinbots on this thread trying to undermine confidence in this country, or a conservative who has become accustomed to losing.

As I have repeatedly said on this site, in 2020 we did better than the polls. Trump was supposed to lose big time. As things turned out, he lost but the election was close.

Now comes a math question. If you need to, you can ask Siri or a grandchild to help you. If we almost won when we were behind in the polls in 2020, and we’re ahead in the polls in 2024, then - unless things change - what can we expect to happen this year?

[cowboyusa]

Then we will have war.