So.... 57% D, 30% R.
The only chance Lake ever had was for this to be a 3-way race. We’ve got that, unless Lake takes a lead in the polls and the Democrats panic and buy off or threaten Sinema out of the running.
Kari’s going to have to find a way to get to at least 40% in a 3-way to beat the cockroach and the phony “independent”. That’s not quite as unlikely as this poll suggests, but it IS unlikely.