Look for something to happen at the Democrat convention.
Joe is going to have so many pledge delegates to vote for him that his nomination is assured. But if Joe bows out at the convention, or sometime before then ,all of those convention delegates become free agents.
I could imagine they would orchestrate this whole thing that at the time of the convention , Joe decides he’s going to retire, they turn the convention into a big retirement party for Joe, and then the powers that be behind the scenes will decide who’s going to be nominated.
> But if Joe bows out at the convention, or sometime before then ,all of those convention delegates become free agents. <
You’d think so. And so did I. But I recently did a check of the DNC rules. They’re very complicated. From what I can tell, if a candidate bows out as you suggested, at least some of his delegates are given to D candidates still in the race. And I believe there are other candidates, minor ones.
Better for Joe to bow out after he wins the nomination. Then the DNC has a free hand to pick his replacement. But suppose Jill Biden talks her husband out of that?
I agree with your assessment, some details may very but that will be the general outline of what will occur.
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Michelle is no actress. Adamently loathe for Barq to run, vigorously dismissing any suggestion she would run for anything, ever, it seems to fall to Governor Newsom to rise at the May Convention (if not before).
If Biden’Nod were removed today and Kamala were made Resident protem, she still couldn’t beat Newsom at the Convention, I doubt. 🤔