It would take 8+ months to get sufficient military assets in place to defeat Iran conclusively, and even then it’s unlikely we would defeat them “conclusively”. Iran has hundreds of thousands of missiles spread widely across their territory and all of the centrifuges they use to enrich uranium are either underground or under a mountain making them impervious to bombing.
Take down Iran’s oil infrastructure? Them Iran closes the Persian Gulf and creates a worldwide depression. So forget about defeating them “conclusively”, that just isn’t going to happen. They will receive a slap on the wrist and that’s that.
The KGB/GRU PoV is unwelcome as always.
Iran, like Russia, is a thug-pariah. Nobody trusts them. Nobody likes them. They can only buy cooperation.
With their funds cutoff they’re done.
Sink their navy, bomb their oil terminals, blow up their pipelines, intercept their missile retaliation, blockade gulf of Aiden then let them wither on the vine for lack of supplies and funding.
Every one of Iran’s neighbors -including China, has missile defense and counter-strike contingencies to deal with Tehran’s missiles if they strike out. Tehran may find itself up against an instant coalition of allied nations -most of them Muslim.
finally a real assesment