The Electoral College is more favorable than in 2016. The 2020 census moved House seats and thus Electoral Votes. They moved south.
Texas gained 2 EVs. California lost 1. Colorado gained 1. Florida gained 1. IL lost 1. Michigan lost 1. Montana gained 1. North Carolina gained 1. New York lost 1. Ohio lost 1. Oregon gained 1. Pennsylvania lost 1.
Trump +4, Dems -3.
Don’t discount the number of voters who voted for DT twice but won’t again since he’s taking up “name-calling” (”Desanctimnious”-”Birdbrain” etc) - DT’s main objective imo is preventing any other R being the nominee. It’s his “precious”.