Now do it with Kennedy as Independent.
Do this poll:
Newsom/Whitmer
Haley/Sununu
RFK/Gabbard
Trump/Carlson
While answering, “Which US President was elected with the lowest % of the popular vote in history?”
“Now do it with Kennedy as Independent.”
I look at Real Clear Politics for their poll aggregation. (They don’t do their own polls but average out the results of pollsters.)
As of this writing: Trump leads Biden by an average of 1.6%. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/general-election-trump-vs-biden-7383.html
In Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy, Trump’s lead drops to 0.4%. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2024/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden_vs_kennedy-8272.html
A year before the election, with most people watching football instead of paying attention to politics, these poll results mean very little.