What about that huge Ukrainian Counter Offensive. Is that still a thing?
Fortunately for the Ukrainians, the Russians are also not able to launch any operational scale assaults. Despite their advantage on paper, the Russians have too few operational aircraft, lack skilled pilots and their army is still a mess almost two years into the conflict.
The Russians are hoping for a stalemate but the Ukrainians keep finding clever ways around that such as the Dnipro river crossing, long range drone and artillery attacks that put pressure on the Russian army and navy, including Crimea. All of these ramp up the costs of Russia's continued occupation. Russia, of course, has about 4 times the manpower reserves but Putin has trouble calling all of them up because it would disturb the carefully constructed system of graft and illusion of normalcy by which he holds power. So it's not how many men Russia can call up on paper, but how willing and capable to fight are those Putin is able to call up who are in theater? The increasing use of "blocking" troops and corporeal punishment suggests not much.
So although the war appears "static" there's a careful balancing act going on. Ukraine faces a loss of some US support, although I think the Europeans may make up for much of that. Putin, however, may have to withdraw from some areas or face an army that is unwilling to fight and spontaneously withdraws. I guess we'll find out.
If I were to guess, the war will end with Russia still in control of Donbas and Crimea, but having to give up all of its 2022 gains. Ukraine will gain entry into the EU and NATO.