On January 20, 2025, he will be a lame duck immediately.
But I think this is an unlikely outcome. Joe Biden remains the overwhelming favorite to win reelection despite a lot of negatives that may deter his effort in getting the second term.
That's why I'm not expecting some scorched earth vengeance campaign in the unlikely event he's allowed to return to the White House.
I expect Trump's strongest supporters will be profoundly disappointed. Truth is, he doesn't really like these people much as it is, viewing his Walmart-shopping MAGA base as mostly uncouth rubes.
Here's what I predict he's going to do. No longer worried about getting re-elected, but still very worried about the business empire he'd like to pass down to his children at some point, he'll work quiet backroom deals with the Democrats, giving them legislation that they'd like in return for throttling back on the lawfare they've engaged against him.
People here will scream bloody murder when Trump signs an assault weapons ban. I will have seen it coming.