DeSantis and establishment Republicans like Haley, Christie, and even Pence will do better than the polls suggest, but nobody will beat Trump. Trump would crush everyone if Iowa was just voting instead of caucuses.
Even if some surprise upset were to happen in Iowa (which I highly doubt) it won’t change the overall outcome… Yes, the msm and establishment will play it up and claim Trump is in trouble, if anyone else outperforms expectations, but it’s all nonsense.. just propaganda to try to influence.
Trump is going to be the nominee, when the dust settles, receiving well over 60% of the overall primary vote.
Don’t have to like it, but Trump was the nominee as of Jan 7 2021, as long as he chose to run. Anyone telling you anything otherwise is a liar or a fool.
For context here we’re the last few open election caucus results for Iowa and the eventual nominee, Iowa has only selected the eventual nominee in an open Republican year, 2 out of the last 7 tries, and only one time did that nominee actually win the the White House.
2016 Cruz won the Iowa Caucuses and Trump was the eventual nominee
2012 Santorum won Iowa Caucus, Romney was the eventual nominee
2008 mike Huckabee won Iowa Caucus, john McCain was the eventual nominee
2000 George Bush won Iowas Caucuses and was the eventual nominee
1996 Bob Dole, who was the eventual nominee
1988 Bob Dole, George Bush was the eventual nominee
1980 George Bush, Reagan was the eventual nominee.