We’ll know much more about size and pinpoint location after getting the HH data fixes. To date, TD10 has been between stationary and meandering up to 5MPH. Once the system gets properly into the GOM, it is expected to pick up forward speed.
It looks like after Tueesday it really picks up forward speed which will be a big help if that continues.
Cold front coming down from the north and upper winds flowing west to east over gulf with some shear, pushing it more to the east.
Tampa better be ready for big blow up before landfall! Cat 2 predictions showing up in some forecasts, watch out