My Russian wife (from the Ukrainian Donbas) thinks Putin is behind this.
She also thinks that Wagner has acquired a nuclear weapon is is going to pop it off within Russia. This will result in Russia nuking Ukraine and Lord knows who else.
She gets all her news from various Russian social media sites.
This war is much more likely to end loudly than quietly. Too much at stake for Russia and globohomo. It’s 78 years in the making.