Well, the Senate election is one of those Federal mini-Presidential races - and the Dark State spent countless millions in 2022 to get Mark Kelly re-elected.
IMHO, Lake would have a better chance of winning a recall election against Hobbs - but all talk of that seemed to fade away this summer...for some reason.
Either way, Trump's VP needs to be a figure like Michael Flynn - who can be given special military powers to deal with the traitors and will know exactly how to use them.
I think the senate race in AZ hinges on Sinema. If she runs independent she loses. If she goes back to the Dems, they will forgive her and vote for her.