do any existing polls break it down by electoral votes?
I've seen breakdowns for some states, but not for all states. I know Trump as it currently stands, has a pretty decent shot of winning Nevada thanks to a lot of Hispanics flipping. He looks like he'll carry North Carolina by more than the 2 points he won it by last time. He currently leads in Georgia though I'm not sure exactly how much. Ohio and Iowa are shoe-ins for Trump. He is ahead in Arizona now. Obviously Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are going to be huge battlegrounds. He'd probably have to win by more than 2-3% nationally to carry Michigan or New Hampshire. It would take something like the 7% lead he currently has nationally to put some other states like Virginia or New Mexico in play.