Seems to me that 100% of congressional staff could be replaced by AI as well as 95% of federal agency staff. We’d need to keep humans in some jobs, like running the DMV where efficient service would be too great a shock.
When I was a child there weren’t 50 people in the country employed working with personal or business computers. When computers stated making inroads in the 60’s 70’s and 80’s the concern was about people losing their jobs to computers... What happened was computers created jobs. AI could be the same.
Pretty simple.
People are a pain in the ass.
It is cheaper to replace them
when you can do so.
I think $15 per hour was the tip point.
At some point, maybe within 7 years, serious thought will be given to setting a certain number of jobs aside that can only be filled by human beings. We are at this point already.
What appears to be a marvelous and modern improvement is going to put scores of highly trained people out of work.
Where are all these people going to go? What will they do with what remains of their most productive years?
Some may commit crimes of violence, due to the bitterness and frustration of having their routines destroyed all of a sudden. Watch and see. This will be a problem for the next president to deal with.
Well, on the positive side, can those laid off and fired folks start with the Indians? Maybe now we can get rid of them.
That is truly amazing considering there are currently only about 158 million people employed in the U.S.
Apparently AI is so amazing it's going to replace 142 million workers that don't even exist.
IBM stands for International Business machine. I had an uncle who worked for IBM in Poughkeepsie back when they were in the old campus and he helped invent a numerical cylinder for mechanical adding machines. When IBM shifted to computers and the resulting media storage devices, lots of those old IBMer’s reached that point of obsolescence and were let go. Field cost center more Factory was shuttered in the gates were locked, and Poughkeepsie fell into a general downturn which still might be persistent.
It was that Uncle who mentored me with the advice that I should pick a trade that won’t reach obsolescence and he suggested electrical work or electronics, of those two electronics suffered as technological advances ensued at a rapid pace shoving many old school electronic technicians to the wayside, luckily I chose electrical work and was able to forge a career out of a technology that will be around indefinitely.
So obsolescence has shifted before and it looks like it continues to transpire and people lose their jobs because of obsolescence and the younger workforce trained on emerging technologies follows on.
It’s the nature of technologically advanced trades. There remains a bit of legacy work afterwards or perhaps management of the emerging technical workforce but those positions are limited.
The fact is that there are lots of workers doing “bullshit jobs”.
“Graeber describes five types of meaningless jobs, in which workers pretend their role is not as pointless or harmful as they know it to be: flunkies, goons, duct tapers, box tickers, and taskmasters.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bullshit_Jobs
It is normally difficult to eliminate bullshit jobs because no middle manager wants to see their little empire shrink, no union rep wants to see their membership shrink, etc.
AI, just like other technological changes in the past, will give management the ability to rearrange business processes and organizational structures. In doing so, they can reduce the number of bullshit jobs and eliminate a lot of dead wood.
Oh, my goodness! Soon, there will only be jobs for illegals, cuz I hear everybody hires them for manual labor.
These are the guys who let a good salesman named Ross Perot go.
IBM CEO gets replaced by HAL
I always assumed industrial automation was 20 years ahead of white collar automation.
After reading and watching some of the things that white collar AI can do, I am now thinking the exact opposite may be true.
White collar AI could be an absolute miracle for small business owners and entrepreneurs.
Imagine scanning the 100 best business and engineering books in the world into your Office AI system.
An endless stream of expert analysis and opinion!