Posted on 03/31/2023 9:05:17 AM PDT by janetjanet998
A very Large Moderate issued from IA to MS
within that MOD risk an Upgrade to HIGH for Violent Tornadoes
ONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE
VALID 311537Z - 311630Z
SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF THE MODERATE RISK OVER SOUTHEASTERN IA, NORTHWESTERN IL, AND FAR NORTHEASTERN MO WILL BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK IN THE 1630 UTC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.
DISCUSSION...AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO-DRIVEN HIGH RISK (30% PROBABILITY) IS EXPECTED FOR THE 1630 UTC OUTLOOK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE QUICKLY BECOMING FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS STRONG TO POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN IA, NORTHWESTERN IL, AND FAR NORTHEASTERN MO. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
and
VALID 311547Z - 311645Z
SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF THE MODERATE RISK AREA OVER EASTERN AR, SOUTHWESTERN TN, AND NORTHERN MS WILL BE UPGRADED TO A CATEGORICAL HIGH RISK IN THE 1630 UTC CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.
DISCUSSION...AN UPGRADE TO A TORNADO-DRIVEN HIGH RISK (30% PROBABILITY) IS EXPECTED FOR THE 1630 UTC OUTLOOK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE QUICKLY BECOMING FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR NUMEROUS STRONG TO POTENTIALLY VIOLENT AND LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN AR, SOUTHWESTERN TN, AND NORTHERN MS. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING DAY 1 OUTLOOK UPDATE FOR MORE INFORMATION.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 93
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT FRI MAR 31 2023
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN IOWA
WESTERN ILLINOIS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
..THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
NUMEROUS TORNADOES EXPECTED WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SUMMARY...INTENSE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL, AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. PARAMETERS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG/VIOLENT TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL.
Hot off the ASR-33 I see.
I was watching the night he raised all that money after Rolling Fork was hit...
I gained a real appreciation for the folks who live in that area.
I didn’t know this before, but apparently Rolling Fork is the birthplace of Muddy Waters.
That’s merely the warm-up act for what’s coming later today.
I hate this time of year
Lost my 84 yo grandmother in the Super Outbreak 4/4/74
I like this one too...
Max Velocity - Severe Weather Center
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KYcoh5o12Zs
god, sorry to hear that...not being rude, do you mind saying what State that happened in??..ive always been fascinated with that out break and have studied it for years...if not, i understand.
I don’t remember a day like this. Certainly not for Indiana.
Reed Timmer is my man:
https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu
https://linktr.ee/reedtimmer
My daughter is a meteorologist in Iowa and is very concerned
Yeah, I watch him too.
They’ve issued two PDS watches. Crazy.
Went live 75 minutes early. Gonna be a wild afternoon.
Latest sat photo:
NWS Paducah radar has been showing scattered light rain in parts of their (my) forecast area along with mostly cloudy skies there, which may go along with the slightly lower risk there. (Less “fuel” for storms later.) Still expecting a rough ride. My wife is travelling this afternoon to a church retreat — kinda wish that would get called off.
Lord knows Mayfield (KY) sure doesn’t need rough stuff - that temporary housing & trailers many are still in...
LOL!!! Good one!
Im in WLR....our school district said, “nope...safer at skewl”...going to go get them. Cabot, Jax, NLR, Benton, Bryant, Conway all said, “come get your kids from noon to 1.
Nope, not LRSD. Idiots. (my kids at catholic school but they go by LRSD rules).
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