The GOP’s fate in the Senate and House will largely be determined by who is at the top of the ticket.
If they put up some establishment Rino, they will have a disappointing overall performance yet again.
As far as the Senate goes there are 20 Democrats, 3 Independents and 10 Republicans with seats up for grabs in 2024.
DEMOCRATS
Baldwin, Tammy (D-WI)
Brown, Sherrod (D-OH)
Cantwell, Maria (D-WA)
Cardin, Benjamin L. (D-MD)
Carper, Thomas R. (D-DE)
Casey, Robert P., Jr. (D-PA)
Feinstein, Dianne (D-CA)
Gillibrand, Kirsten E. (D-NY)
Heinrich, Martin (D-NM)
Hirono, Mazie K. (D-HI)
Kaine, Tim (D-VA)
Klobuchar, Amy (D-MN)
Manchin, Joe, III (D-WV)
Menendez, Robert (D-NJ)
Murphy, Christopher (D-CT)
Rosen, Jacky (D-NV)
Sinema, Kyrsten (D-AZ)
Stabenow, Debbie (D-MI)
Tester, Jon (D-MT)
Warren, Elizabeth (D-MA)
Whitehouse, Sheldon (D-RI)
INDEPENDENTS
King, Angus S., Jr. (I-ME)
Sanders, Bernard (I-VT)
(Sinema is listed as a Democrat because that is what she was when she won.
REPUBLICANS
Barrasso, John (R-WY)
Blackburn, Marsha (R-TN)
Braun, Mike (R-IN)
Cramer, Kevin (R-ND)
Cruz, Ted (R-TX)
Fischer, Deb (R-NE)
Hawley, Josh (R-MO)
Romney, Mitt (R-UT)
Scott, Rick (R-FL)
Wicker, Roger F. (R-MS)
Math alone makes it likely the Republicans have some better odds due to the number of seats exposed.
I have one fewer than Mr Morris writes.
DJT was ate the top of the ticket in 2020 and the GOP still lost the Senate and House.