Meteorologists can rarely predict a 10 day forecast correctly but yet they can predict, without a doubt, how weather will destroy the planet 8 years from now.
There was one day last summer where they were predicting a high near 100F and heat indexes in excess of 110F for the next day. The actual temp barely got to 90F and the heat index wasn’t even what they predicted the high temp would be twelve hours earlier. Fear mongering? Sure looked that way to me. Meteorology is the only profession where you can be wrong 80% of the time and still keep your job.