[Rockingham]

Tactical push backs will not be enough for Ukraine to win but are useful for keeping Russian forces pinned down and suffering casualties. Ukraine's best prospect for a strategic victory is to attack and take Crimea after cutting its supply lines. The loss of Crimea will be a definitive reverse for Russia and may prompt a military and political collapse.

[GreenLanternCorps]

If they can take out the Kerch strait bridge that be comes a possibility. But that also depends on the offensive capabilities of the Ukrainian Army.

Taking Crimea would be a major operation and the Ukes need to make sure they have enough troops to hold elsewhere and take Crimea too.