[MinorityRepublican]

[cowboyusa]

Wisconson would go Red. Watch VA.

[DSH]

Yep. That's precisely the map I had in mind. Other than Wisconsin, what blue state is a plausible GOP get? I still hear people say Virginia (no doubt bolstered by Youngkin's gubernatorial win), but I'm not feeling it. Virginia went +10 for Biden in 2020. Hillary Clinton carried it +5 in 2016. Obama won it twice (+4% in 2012 and +6 in 2008). It's no longer a "purple" state, it seems to me, but rather solidly blue.

As for Youngkin's win, it's hardly clear that means much on the national level. I'm from Virginia originally, and even when the state was solidly red in national elections, it would with some frequency elect Democratic Senators and Democratic Governors. Perhaps Youngkin's success reflects that same sort of pattern, but in reverse.

And, as to tonight's election results, if Georgia is becoming a "purple" state, a battleground state, this isn't good news for the GOP. There's obviously no path forward to 270 for the Republicans without Georgia.

[Coronal]

Don’t be too quick to count Arizona or Georgia.