Bottom Line: The winner in ‘24 is going to have to kick butt, I would say the popular vote will be above 80 million. Trump only has to improve his ‘20 total by 8% to get above 80 million. That is VERY do-able IMO.
It’s a state by state battle.
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote and lost the electoral.
The war will be fought in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
States Trump won in 2016 and lost in 2020.