Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: PermaRag

Why was your crystal ball better than most[all]?


79 posted on 11/10/2022 8:29:05 AM PST by Theoria
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 78 | View Replies ]


To: Theoria

I’ve been working with election data since the mid 1990s and demographic/polling data since the 1980s, plus I’m a highly skeptical type by nature and not exactly what anyone would call a “glass half full” person.

So I discounted many things that seemed a little too good to be true, and this time around they happened to be exactly that in many cases.

I’m a lot better at ferreting out bad outcomes than good ones — I was one of millions who never imagined that Trump had any *real* chance to win in 2016, for example, even when the polls were slightly optimistic towards the end — though I did think he had the best chance of any of our candidates vs. Hillary, as if that required any special insight considering the rest of the field. :-)


81 posted on 11/10/2022 8:45:18 AM PST by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 79 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson