“Tell me you’re not quoting the Farmers Almanac.......”
Which has nothing to do with the European winter. They are US winter predictions only.
Well. Ok. You a meteorologist? It’s gonna be warmer winter in Europe because you’re writing their almanac? What’s the scoop Jackson? If you’re that good how are the folks in the NE US going to keep from freezing their asses off, when they are talking heating fuel rationing and diesel fuel shortages. Ever farm, drive a truck, cut fire wood, butcher a cow, or canned your own food? This can and probably will turn bad. Lot of stupid people may have issues. Good luck.
And sketchy ones at that. OFA is a weather horoscope published almost a year in advance.
Right. However, the portion of the global forecasts that pertain to the USA do (more or less) line up with The Farmers Almanac. And the long range NWS forecast too.
Obviously this is mostly “probability”. What did happen to all those hurricanes for 2022? (although Ian almost made up for it in one storm...!)