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AP EXPLAINS: How one computer forecast model botched Ian
The Associated Press ^
| October 7, 2022
| By SETH BORENSTEIN
Posted on 10/07/2022 3:32:34 PM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
And these people want to destroy our society because they know what the earth's climate is doing - and that it's our fault.
2
posted on
10/07/2022 3:36:23 PM PDT
by
grobdriver
(The CDC can KMA!)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Any bets on whether there was a new affirmative action hire in the modeling group?
3
posted on
10/07/2022 3:37:34 PM PDT
by
SauronOfMordor
(A Leftist can't enjoy life unless they are controlling, hurting, or destroying others)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
But Global Warming models don’t suffer from such problems. Got it!
To: Oldeconomybuyer
But they can predict Climate Change.
5
posted on
10/07/2022 3:38:46 PM PDT
by
dfwgator
(Endut! Hoch Hech!)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
6
posted on
10/07/2022 3:39:37 PM PDT
by
Chgogal
(Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell.)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Models are always an abstraction of reality. Treat them for what they are.
7
posted on
10/07/2022 3:40:02 PM PDT
by
ConservativeInPA
( Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
To: Chgogal
“Overall, the European computer model performed best, the British one had the closest eventual Florida landfall but was too slow in timing and the American model had the highest errors when it came to track, NOAA’s Alicia Bentley said during the agency’s postmortem.”
8
posted on
10/07/2022 3:41:42 PM PDT
by
Chgogal
(Welcome to Fuhrer Biden's Weaponized Fascist Banana Republic! It's the road to hell.)
To: FirstFlaBn
Because there is no cone of uncertainty for those models. /s
9
posted on
10/07/2022 3:44:24 PM PDT
by
maro
(MAGA!)
To: Chgogal
The forecast are always right... because they always update the forecast.
10
posted on
10/07/2022 3:45:22 PM PDT
by
Pikachu_Dad
("the media are selling you a line of soap)
To: Pikachu_Dad
Too many hurricanes = Climate Change
Not enough hurricanes = Climate Change
Climate Change never wrong.
11
posted on
10/07/2022 3:46:15 PM PDT
by
dfwgator
(Endut! Hoch Hech!)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
If you looked at the satellite picture of cloud patterns you would have seen the cold front over northern Florida. It was obvious that Ian was going to turn N.E. bfore Tampa while they were forecasting a landfall at Tampa Bay.
12
posted on
10/07/2022 3:54:41 PM PDT
by
Colo9250
To: Oldeconomybuyer
In other words the science failed us.
13
posted on
10/07/2022 3:55:23 PM PDT
by
for-q-clinton
(Cancel Culture IS fascism...Let's start calling it that!)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
Assorted Prostitutes explains nothing, they just repeat the Soros line. They are merely a deep state mouthpiece.
14
posted on
10/07/2022 3:55:46 PM PDT
by
doorgunner69
(Let's go Brandon)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
As it is with all computer modeling...
12 different models, none of them are correct, but, somehow,
people think that if you average 12 “wrong” answers,
you will get the “right” answer.
15
posted on
10/07/2022 4:11:18 PM PDT
by
Repeal The 17th
(Get out of the matrix and get a real life.)
To: Oldeconomybuyer
A computer model is only as good as the validity of the information given to the programming team by the “experts” in their field.
16
posted on
10/07/2022 4:14:32 PM PDT
by
I want the USA back
(The media is the enemy. They are the most subversive institution on the planet. )
17
posted on
10/07/2022 4:16:55 PM PDT
by
smokingfrog
( sleep with one eye open (<o> --- )
To: I want the USA back
18
posted on
10/07/2022 4:17:16 PM PDT
by
HandyDandy
(Life is what you make it.)
To: I want the USA back
And the assumptions built into the model!
19
posted on
10/07/2022 4:20:34 PM PDT
by
Reily
But they they use the same model that predicts if the atmospheric concentratiom of CO2 ever climbs from 0.04% to 0.05% both ice caps will instantly sublime to steam and the oceans will vaporize and the ground will become a new sea of molten slag causing the polar bears, snail darters, whales and spotted owls to perish
20
posted on
10/07/2022 4:20:46 PM PDT
by
dsrtsage
( Complexity is just simple lacking imagination)
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