Most likely scenario. Russia claims victory that special military operation objectives were achieved. This was never about occupying Ukraine.
The US did this in their last three or more “wars”.
Time tested plan.
“This was never about occupying Ukraine.”
I beg to differ. Russia’s demands were a de facto demand for occupation: Complete Ukrainian demilitarization; declared neutrality; accept Crimea as being part of Russia; accept LPR and DPR as independent states no longer part of Ukraine; a pro-Russia regime in Kiev. In other words, Ukraine to be gelded and subordinated to Russia.
We did it finally in viet nam