I’ve been following the Rasmussen generic poll for decades. If the Reps and Dems are even in this poll on election day, Republicans do pretty good - not great but pretty good.
Earlier in the summer this poll was +10 for the Reps. I never saw it that high. Then Senate Reps helped the Dems pass the stupid and unnecessary “chips” bill, and the the Rasmussen lead was cut in half. Hopefully the Senate Reps won’t do anything stupid, and the Rasmussen poll remains stable between now and election day. If that happens we will have a great day.
I believe Democrat’s internal polling shows that the Democrats are in trouble. Biden’s speech last night was an attempt to tamp down the wave. Of course Joe screwed the whole thing up.