US military admits it killed 10 civilians and targeted wrong vehicle in Kabul airstrike
Hey, what's seven kids when ya can make Biden look strong?
Figuring out Dugin's schedule and planting the bomb would have taken considerable black ops effort on the Uke's part, and Dugin would not have rated high enough to warrant that effort.
My guess is Dugin was muttering about Putin's and/or the army's incompetence to the wrong people, maybe even talking about a coup, so taking him out and blaming the Ukes became an attractive strategy for some faction in the FSB or whatever the successor to the GRU is.