Me and my family (and friends and coworkers) will under NO CIRCUMSTANCE vote for Oz in the general election. If his name is on the ballot, we will write-in Barnette.
Exactly and you are not alone...
Folks who think OZ can win, Are just completely out of touch with PA (if they have connection to it at all)..
McCormick is a Wall Street/Bush Republican. Oz is well, basically a celebrity trying to sell himself as an Amrerica First conservative, and the PA GOP electorate after 60 Million spent by both of them ain’t buying either of them...
But in the general, the general somehow miraculously either of them can win? Not going to happen.
OZ will get the low information suburban women who watched his show and “like” him to vote for him, but he won’t remotely get the turnout in the T needed to get a W... nor will McCormick. Both cases they are Generic R candidates, and they will be facing a VERY STRONG D candidate in Fetterman.
PA calculus is simple, Generic R vs Generic D, and D will win nearly ever time... Generic R vs Strong D, and D is almost a certainty unless the overall climate is such that any R would win.
Oz will not remotely get the support he needs in the rural and smaller town and cities in PA to win.. Especially when stood up against Fetterman (Neither will mccormic). The Establishment (and their mouthpieces) are stupidly thinking with OZ, we’ll get our standard GOP turnout and his celebrity will push him over the top. They don’t see, or choose not to see, that Oz will alienate a huge chunk of their base.. he’s not acceptable to a large majority of them and a non starter... they won’t hold nose in November and vote for him, they won’t.
Not only that but the large number of disenfranchised voters that Trump engaged and got to show up in 16 and 20, are not going to show up for Oz or McCormick. Combine this with the fact that Fetterman is the real deal, he absolutely owns a room, and has spent decades fighting in the trenches for his beliefs, even if his beliefs are not ones I agree with... he, unlike Oz or Fetterman isn’t just showing up and saying Hey, I have lots of money and/or fame, vote for me. He gets in front of the people of this state juxatposed against Oz or McCormick, he’ll win the middle handily. You think the blue collar dirt under their fingernail voters that make up the vast majority of the GOP electorate and are absolutely needed to show up in large numbers to win are going to pick Oz or McCormick over Fetterman, you are a fool IMHO.
IF the red wave is large enough then the R will win no matter what, however, if it isn’t, Fetterman will own this race from pretty much start to finish.
Oz’s celebrity won’t carry him to the finish line... hell it couldn’t even carry him to the primary... took Trump jumping in to save him at the last minute just in the primary, and he still may lose that.
OZ will be to PA what Romney was nationally... Won’t perform any better than an average GOP candidate, and probably under perform.