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To: HamiltonJay

What’s your sense from being in PA?


14 posted on 05/15/2022 7:33:58 PM PDT by tatown
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To: tatown

Establishment has been all in on OZ or MCCormick since day one.

Neither one really excites anyone I know and independents I talk to sure as hell have no intent to vote for either one of them.

Barnette absolutely caught fire with her debate performances. She had no budget and so only exposure she had before that were folks who followed the race closely or attended events she was at. Most that saw her liked her but most people never saw her. Debates changed that and she took off.

Last 4-5 days the establishment has done nothing but throw lies and smear out at her non stop.

I am hopeful Barnette pulls off the upset.

My honest assessment about the race?

Even before Barnette was on most voters radar, I have said the following and I stick to it:

If oZ or MCCormick are the nominee, don’t be surprised if the democrats take this seat. Neither one are going to sell here. They have no innate support, and both will play at best as generic R candidates. OZ is a fraud and MCCormick is a typical Wall Street bus Republican. Neither will motivate the blue collar and rural voters in any meaningful way.. and certainly will not get the disenfranchised voters that Trump got to the polls to show up. Fetterman is the Democrat nominee, and he is a very solid D candidate…. You can’t run a generic R vs a Generic D and generally win in PA, let alone a generic R against a strong D and win… and this race with either of them is a generic R vs. strong D…

The only way OZ or MCCormick can win the general is if the damage Biden and the economy have done is so great that a ham sandwich would win as long as it has an R by its name.

Barnette is a wild card in the general if she wins tomorrow. She is definitely NOT a generic R, certainly has the best personal story to tell, and connects to folks she meets in person. She also is by far the most conservative in her stands and policies of the three. How will she do in the general if she wins? Well I think honestly she’s the only one who won’t disappear in Fettermans shadow. She’s clearly not going to get any party support other than token if she is the candidate so is going to have to depend on grass roots abs shoe leather to do it. She will be fighting both the democrats and the GOP establishment/rino/Uniparty swamp the entire race.

For me I’ll take my chances on Barnette any day over OZ and MCCormick.. iif they win any R would have won and I know both of them will just be another disappointment .

I will say this among the conservatives I talk to, NO ONE abs I do mean NO ONE, even those who plan to vote for him, have any excitement for OZ and a pretty good contingent openly state if he wins the primary they will not vote for him in the fall.

We will see how it plays out, I am hopeful Barnette pulls off the upset.. because the GOP of PA needs to learn a lesson, that they can’t just keep giving us crap candidates and tell us we should be thankful for it.

If she wins regardless of the fall, that will be as big if not bigger an FU to the GOPE of PA than Trump was to the national GOPe.

So long and short I’d put odds on Fetterman winning easily with OZ or MCCormick as the nominee this fall.

I am hopeful tha Barnette pulls off the upset, the slime thrown around in thr last few days against her pretty much reinforces that th GOP of pa will not change without being forced to


32 posted on 05/16/2022 4:52:16 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: tatown

I spoke with a friend who was a Mayor of a mid size PA town. He’s on the B team. Barletta and Barnette


39 posted on 05/16/2022 7:10:51 AM PDT by cyclotic (I won't give up my FREEDOM for your FEAR. Oh Canada, we stand on guard for thee.)
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