Hey LS.
If they go anywhere, vote is Tuesday... and the folks who had been the front runners, both Oz and McCormick despite spending 10s of millions each for the last 4-5 months still are in the 20s.
OZ actually is down from February where he was at 27... Hasn’t stumbled, but hasn’t sold it.. he’s a lousy candidate IMHO and McCormick isn’t much better.
There are still 20% or so undecided in this poll, and Oz really hasn’t moved, got a few points after Trump endorsed him, but that’s it... The winner from the debates, without question in terms of affecting the race has been Kathy... depending on the polls, undecideds were nearly 40% just a few weeks ago...
Oz and McCormick are both duds. Only exposure Kathy has gotten were these debate performances and she’s made the most of them for sure, neither McCormick nor Oz moved their needles much after the debates.
Downside is Kathy really doesn’t have the cash to push her advantage, if she does wind up the nominee, this will be, without question a coup de tat by the electorate who pretty much will have rejected the GOPe guys.
My take on this race is, if Oz or McCormick are the nominee, don’t be surprised to see Fetterman win the seat.. even with the red wave coming.. I just don’t see either of them offering a compelling case to voters here, and the usual pro forma attack lines won’t stick to Fetterman. The man is a beast, and has more street cred, for lack of a better term, that any politician to run for a statewide office in this state.. Neither of these guys (Oz or McCormick) will be able to get beyond a generic R support at best in the fall.
So if the D brand is so bad that any R would win, they might take it, but if the race is measured in any way by the candidates, Fetterman will wipe the floor with either of them.
I hope Kathy pulls off the upset, will know soon enough. She’s definitely not someone who will be swallowed in Fetterman’s shadow... of course the establishment GOP will almost certainly abandon her if she wins, so it will have to be the people who actually give her a chance... I think given the current climate, that may indeed happen.
I tend to think Oz’s name recognition will far outpace Fetterman’s appeal. We’ll see.