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To: BiglyCommentary
Just because inflation is 7% today doesn’t mean it will be 7% for the next 10 years, recession or no recession.

Remember that inflation is measured year over year. So, if we had 7+% inflation again NEXT year, that'd be on top of the 7+% we had this year.

More likely is that we'll have ~4% inflation in 23 (per recent Fed projections), which still ain't good - but it's not gonna be 7% again year over year unless the wheels truly come off the cart. (Actually, with Brandon in charge, anything is possible..)

11 posted on 03/31/2022 4:31:32 PM PDT by jstolzen
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To: jstolzen

Inflation would have to come down about 5 points to get to 7%. “Real world” inflation is more like 12-15% recently (depending on the product(s)).


12 posted on 03/31/2022 4:39:43 PM PDT by Drago
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