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To: ChicagoConservative27

Obama lost 63 House seats in 2010, the repuks had 20 less seats than they do now.
248 seats were the most seats repuks ever had.

will they break these numbers in November 2022?
when I see articles like below, repuks deserve what they get

House GOP win likely, but cool the 60-seat hype

Hopes of House Republicans for a blockbuster victory in the fall congressional midterm elections are being scaled back, tempered by the reality there just aren’t a lot of easy seats to pick up and new hurdles are being thrown at them every week.

“It’s good that they temper their expectations,” said pollster John McLaughlin, who still predicts a GOP win big enough to give the party control of the House and to oust Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker.

While former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and some overly optimistic pollsters have suggested a modern record pickup of over 60 seats, to give the GOP a huge lead, party insiders see a range of 10-35 additional seats.

The University of Virginia’s Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman are predicting a GOP gain of 25-35 seats.

“We thought, and still think, that what would constitute a mega-GOP wave would be a net gain of 35, or the biggest GOP House majority since 1928,” Kondik said.

Then, the GOP held 248 seats.

Rep. Tom Emmer, the head of the National Republican Congressional Committee is known to predict just enough in his level-headed approach to the election, which in this case is five.

Driving the predictions have been President Joe Biden’s miserable approval ratings, high inflation and gas prices, a disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, a border crisis, and the threat of world war.

Then, there were signs of voter dissatisfaction in elections after Biden’s inauguration, such as the surprise win by Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin last November. That sparked a review of House districts and a new rush into the Biden areas that Youngkin won, such as the commonwealth’s 7th Congressional District.

Virginia Republican state Sen. Bryce Reeves said Biden’s unpopularity and policy failures opened the door to returning the district to the GOP. Biden’s bungled Afghan withdrawal prompted him to get into a crowded GOP primary race.

“I almost threw up,” he said of the deaths blamed on Biden’s missteps.

On the campaign trail, Reeves said he’s getting encouragement from Biden’s base of voters, including blacks and suburban mothers worried about inflation, their safety, and even the president’s competence.

“I hear from Democratic moms all the time,” he said. And they tell him they “fear that this president is an idiot.”

One of his supporters, Culpeper County Sheriff Scott Jenkins, told us, “The current leadership in Washington has failed America and Americans in ways that cannot be overstated. Our children’s children and beyond will pay the price for this administration’s disastrous choices. As we have seen in Virginia, electing strong Republicans who listen to the voters will help correct the destruction wrought by out-of-touch Democrats.”

Despite national anger with the White House, expectations for a blowout are being lowered because Republicans already did well in 2020, leaving just seven seats in districts Trump won but are held by Democrats.

Plus, they are not winning the redistricting battles in key states such as New York and are hosting primary fights between pro-Trump and anti-Trump forces in others.

Then, there is the issue of telling voters what they stand for. While that should be easy for a party that has historically opposed taxes and big spending, some appear to be going along with Biden’s massive spending plans, muddling the GOP’s positions.

“If you look at what’s going on,” said pollster McLaughlin, of high prices, “the cause is debt and inflation. And if the Republicans keep going along with raising the debt ceiling and allowing Democrats to spend, then they are going to lose the argument that they have on inflation and gas prices.”

His advice to the party was to keep on hitting kitchen table issues that mothers, such as those Reeves has been talking to, care about.

“After the State of the Union, people asked me, ‘Do you think Biden’s approval numbers will go up?’ I said, ‘Yeah, until people have to buy gas,’” he said.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/washington-secrets/whoa-house-gop-win-likely-but-cool-the-60-seat-hype


28 posted on 03/26/2022 10:08:02 AM PDT by tomd2
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To: tomd2

If Virginia is a leading indicator, a bell weather, then 2022 is going to be a bad year, down ticket. In fact, since CRT and trans nonsense, I am betting a whole deeper level of Republicans running for school boards and local offices.


30 posted on 03/26/2022 11:33:32 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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