With the current winds that fallout plume will land somewhere southeast of the plant. It is likely to create great damage to the cities recently conquered by Russia.
If the plant fails dramatically, and the winds shift towards the southwest slightly the Russians can say goodbye to Crimea.
Who knows, Russia's invasion of Ukraine may be over sooner than everyone predicted. Luckily they have naval assets in Crimea to evacuate it if they have to.
Winds are all over the place for the next week in Ukraine.
https://www.windy.com/-Temperature-temp?temp,2022030618,47.969,30.654,6
“Luckily they have naval assets in Crimea to evacuate it if they have to.”
but then there’s Turkey, who may have a slight issue with fallout clouds over the Black Sea....especially after they’ve closed their straits to keep Russian Med-based warships out of the Black Sea, and continues to lobby for an immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, having relations with both.
China used the Olympics as a smokesscreen for Russian invasion of Ukraine so the bigger question is, what is China sneaking around doing right now, with Russia acting as a smokescreen for China?