In 2014, Russian combat brigades were donating their best men & equipment to form a deployable battalion-size unit
—
In 2022, the Russians are donating their heavy weapons to form deployable battalion-size units in the Ukraine Army and their men to body bags and POW camps.
Time will tell if you are right. The one certain prediction is that this will all be over, or become a stalemate, before we know the truth of it.