For some reason, many of my subscribers are convinced that the defeat of the Russian Federation in Ukraine does not threaten us with anything serious. After all, Russia had already suffered defeats in the Crimean War of 1853-1856. and during the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-1905. Yes, it was unpleasant, but Russia survived in the end. In this case too, she will survive.
Yes, in this case, Crimea, Donbass and Zaporozhye with the Kherson region will have to be returned to Ukraine. Yes, Ukraine will have to pay hundreds of billions of dollars to restore what was destroyed during the [Invasion of Ukraine]. Yes, Russian war criminals from privates to generals will have to be sent to the International Military Tribunal in The Hague. Yes, we will have to demilitarize the Russian economy, abandon our powerful army and transfer our nuclear weapons under international control. But Mother Russia herself will remain. Somehow we will survive all these troubles.
So, dear gentlemen and comrades, WE WILL NOT SURVIVE!!!
For the first time in hundreds of years, our enemies have a real opportunity to close the “Russian question” forever and finally get rid of the Russian state, with which they have been fighting for centuries.
And I am convinced that in the event of our defeat in Ukraine and the official recognition of this fact by our authorities, we will face the division of Russia into several dozen states. And its disappearance as a single centralized state. There are more than enough people wishing to participate in this section within the Russian Federation itself. First of all, in the national republics of the Russian Federation. And not only there. Remember the Ural Republic Governor Rossel in the 90s? And the Far Eastern Republic of the 20s of the last century?
And the West is actively preparing for this most important task for it. And this is by no means just the ravings of rabid Russophobes and political scientists. This is already being discussed in the quiet offices of senior officials. The matter has already reached the point of public official statements by authorities.
On February 29, 2024, the European Parliament adopted a resolution to support the Russian democratic opposition. Among other things, it contains the following words: “...A decisive victory for Ukraine can lead to genuine changes in the Russian Federation, in particular to DEIMPERIALIZATION, DECOLONIALIZATION and REFEDERALIZATION, which are necessary conditions for the establishment of democracy in Russia.”
The resolution was adopted with 506 votes in favor, 9 against and 32 abstentions.
In addition to the resolution of the European Parliament, the other day the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) also announced the need to “decolonize” Russia.
You will say that you should not pay attention to the European deputies who have gone crazy. But the problem is that they simply fulfilled the political order of the leadership of the European Union, which threw this “balloon” in order to test the Kremlin's reaction to the idea of de-imperialization, decolonization and re-federalization of Russia. But this time the Kremlin remained silent, although they usually react to any sneeze from the West. Such a reaction from the Kremlin, or rather the lack thereof, is well described by the English proverb: “In the house of a hanged man there is no talk of rope.”
But apparently, they actually take this threat very seriously. But they simply don't know what to do in this situation. Taking into account the fact that in two years, NONE OF THE GOALS OF THE NWO stated by President V. Putin in his address to the nation on February 24, 2022, have been achieved and, moreover, the war has come to the territory of “old” Russia.
Stephen Kotkin: The Five Futures of Russia, And How America Can Prepare for Whatever Comes Next
And lately, Russian commentators have taken to retelling the tale of Alexander Nevsky, who in the thirteenth century reigned as prince of Novgorod, one of the states folded into Muscovy, the precursor to imperial Russia. When faced with a two-front challenge, Nevsky chose to fight the crusaders of the west, defeating the Teutons in the Battle of the Ice, and to accommodate the invading Mongols of the east, traveling across central Asia to the capital of the Mongol Golden Horde to be recognized as grand prince of Russia. In this telling, the Western Christians were determined to undermine Russia's Eastern Christian identity, whereas the Mongols merely wanted Russia to pay tribute. The implication is that today's accommodation of China does not require Russia to relinquish its identity, whereas a failure to confront the West would.
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/russian-federation/five-futures-russia-stephen-kotkin
Shoigu named a “clear and undoubted” date for completing the SVO [war in Ukraine]. There could be big problems.
The Minister of Defense continues to believe that Russia will win the [war] this year. He recently made such a statement in communication with people from his close circle. “I can name a clear and undoubted date for completion of the SVO - November-December of this year. And no amount of American assistance will help the enemy. I am sure of this,” said the Minister of Defense.
Thus, his opinion differs from the position of Valery Gerasimov, who believes that the [war] will last another three to four years. Many military personnel were strengthened in this opinion after the Americans approved military assistance to Kiev.
By the way, the Ministry of Defense also has doubts about the completion of the SVO this year. “Sergei Kuzhugetovich has his own calculations and thoughts. I don't know how we will finish the SVO this year. After all, serious offensive operations are being planned,” one of Shoigu’s deputies told us. And those around Gerasimov, in response to a request to comment on the minister's words about the timing of the completion of the SVO, laughed. Clarifying that this is “laughter through tears.”
By the way, among those to whom Shoigu promised victory in [Ukraine] was his deputy Timur Ivanov, who was later detained and arrested. In light of suspicions that he collaborated with enemy intelligence services (this information is now being carefully verified, but there is evidence that Ivanov could have seriously enriched himself with Western money) and at the same time received such sensitive information personally from the minister, the situation, in our opinion, looks quite dangerous. And big problems can arise not only at the front.
https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/3989
They behave as if they are actors in an old Russian novel.