consisting of
President of Belarus
Prime Minister of Belarus
Chairman of the House of Representatives
Chairman of the Council of the Republic
Chairman of the Supreme Court
Head of the Presidential Administration of Belarus
State Secretary
Prosecutor General
Chairman of the National Bank
Chairman of the State Security Committee of the Republic of Belarus
Minister of Defense
Minister of Foreign Affairs
Minister of Internal Affairs
Minister of Emergency Situations
Chairman of the Investigation
Chief of the General Staff
We should particularly examine what
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexander_Volfovich is up to.
Harri Ohra-aho, the former intelligence chief of the Defense Forces and current negotiating official at the Ministry of Defense , is sure that Lukashenka’s illness has also caused a stir in the administration of Russian President Vladimir Putin .
- The Kremlin is currently preparing to act in that situation, if Lukashenka can no longer remain in power. In that case, Russia will probably try to take over Belarus in some way, and it can completely change the situation also regarding the war in Ukraine, Ohra-aho told IS in Tallinn.
The general perception so far has been that Lukashenka has managed to put the brakes on Putin's desire to use Belarusian soil to his advantage in the war in Ukraine. If Lukashenka were to leave power, the situation could be favorable for Putin - at least in the event that Belarus would be led by a leader even more loyal to the Kremlin than Lukashenka.
- The northern front of Ukraine would then perhaps be fully available to Putin, Ohra-aho estimates.
If Lukashenka were to die unexpectedly, the Kremlin might get an excuse to announce, for example, that it needs to bring in Russian troops to protect Belarus against the threat from the West and Ukraine. However, this would not be a risk-free move for Putin, as both the army and the people of Belarus have been very reluctant to join Putin's war.
- Until now, Lukashenka has had to consider the possibility that his own soldiers would not obey him. So, what would be the response of the people and soldiers of Belarus in the event that Russia tried to take over Belarus completely? Barley-aho pondered.
Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko collapsed for a second time this month after a meeting with President Vladimir Putin and was hospitalised in Moscow on May 27.
Valery Tsepkalo, Belarusian opposition leader, said that after his meeting with Putin Lukashenko was taken to the Central Clinical Hospital of Moscow in critical condition.
In April Lukashenko issued a decree saying that in the event of his death the Security Council of Belarus should take over running the country and not the prime minister, as according to the constitution.
The council is a powerful body headed by the chief of the KGB security services, Alexander Volfovich, who is a key ally of Lukashenko, and pro-Russian.
Amongst Lukashenko’s civilian loyalists, Natalya Kochanova, the head of the upper chamber of the nation's parliament, also stands out, as it appears Lukashenko has been grooming her as a possible successor. She supported Lukashenko’s crackdowns following the 2020 demonstrations, calling him “a wise and experienced politician” to whom she's pledged loyalty “for the rest of her life.” Lukashenko called her an “almost a ready-made president” in 2020, as cited by Politico.
Lukashenko has been trying to change the constitution so that he could stand down as president but then be automatically appointed as permanent head of the Belarusian People's Assembly, which has no powers at all under a recent reform in 2022 in a constitutional referendum. However, Lukashenko has been unable to complete these changes.
https://www.intellinews.com/lukashenko-collapses-a-second-time-hospitalised-in-moscow-279929/