[AdmSmith]

The bridge to/from Crimea has heavy traffic now https://www.google.com/maps/@45.2085058,36.6191359,16z
Evacuation? Panic among the Orcs.

Ukraine Intercepts Hypersonic Kinzhal Missile! The First Confirmed Loss!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tTor-u2yaZw

Ukraine has a lot of modern weapons now.

The trafficability forecast (below) is based on current and predicted rainfall which are well above normal for near the Line of Conflict (LoC). In general, trafficability is delayed about 1 month versus normal.

https://twitter.com/davidhelms570/status/1650851710221295617

[AdmSmith]

Reporting from Ukraine: Ukrainians SURVIVE DREADFUL BOMBING AND GO ON FULL OFFENSIVE | War in Ukraine Explained

Day 437: May 06

The freshest reports indicate that maintaining the upper hand was not easy. At first, Ukrainians tried to develop their success and leverage the newly taken positions for further advancements, but the moment the weather improved, Russians unleashed their aviation.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SNJ1LajA6Go

[AdmSmith]

Ukraine has a lot of modern weapons now.

RIA just posted another photo of a Ukrainian ADM-160B MALD standoff decoy that landed in Luhansk today.

https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1657141335957143557

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ADM-160_MALD

This will saturate the Russian air defence.