01JUN2022 SVR General (Генерал СВР):
Wartime not only shatters hopes and deceives the expectations of Russian President Vladimir Putin, but also helps him find interesting management solutions. If earlier the resignation of a minister, governor, head of service, etc. Putin had to prepare in strict secrecy, constantly changing and modernizing plans in connection with leaks and conjectures in the press, and in general, the implementation of the president’s decision to resign any official, minister, governor or security official was like a full-fledged special operation. Now, the successful experience of Shoigu and Gerasimov, who were removed from decision-making by Putin, but nominally remain in their places, opens up new prospects for the president.
You can actually remove any top-level official from business, leaving, albeit temporarily, nominally in his place, while transferring his functions to a shadow successor. At the same time, outwardly, everything looks like a strong, and most importantly, that Putin loves so much, a STABLE system of power. Putin is already discussing these plans with might and main with his inner circle. So such decisions are brewing regarding the head of the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs, Vladimir Kolokoltsev, and the director of the FSB, Alexander Bortnikov. With regard to Kolokoltsev, a decision has been ripening for a long time, and now an opportunity has arisen, and as for the director of the FSB, Alexander Bortnikov, he has long been asking for his resignation and is actually sabotaging the resolution of a number of important issues. Plus, under Bortnikov, recently this has been especially noticeable, there has been a decentralization of the leadership of the service, where spheres of influence are divided among several decision-making centers from the outside. Putin is extremely dissatisfied with the state of affairs in the FSB and the actual leadership will soon be transferred to Sergei Korolev, while Bortnikov nominally remains the director for some time. Everything would be fine, but soon in this way the system of power will turn into a puppet theater.
02JUN2022 SVR General (Генерал СВР):
We have repeatedly talked about how Russian President Vladimir Putin approaches decision-making. Almost always, he gives the order to prepare several options for solving one issue for different people, while the solutions may differ radically from each other. In most cases, after listening to or reading a report with some kind of proposal, Putin, if you consider this proposal sensible, agrees to prepare for its implementation, while not giving final consent to the implementation of this decision. So, for example, today several groups are preparing different scenarios for the occupied territories of Ukraine. Kiriyenko is preparing his plan to join the occupied Ukraine and the Republic of Belarus to Russia, or rather, to reunite the “fraternal republics” into a union state, we talked about this recently. Turchak, Khusnullin and Slutsky are in the group for preparing the accession to Russia of the same occupied territories, including the LDNR, through a “referendum” in the shortest possible time, and they are also still in the process of developing the concept. And the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, according to its plans, which the president also approved for preparation, is preparing for the opening of “embassies” of the LDNR, which supposedly will soon become part of Russia. The confusion in the official, diametrically different positions of all groups should not confuse or mislead anyone, Putin has a clear understanding that these territories should be part of Russia, and he will approve the method when he considers it necessary, or rather necessary.
With regard to the military operation, Putin has a different approach. Here he prefers to change figures that do not meet his expectations, or rather, remove those who took responsibility for completing tasks and failed to complete the deadlines. So, today, Valery Gerasimov, Alexander Dvornikov and a number of other generals have been removed from decision-making and command of a military operation, not to mention Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu. At the same time, nominally most of these people are at their posts, including the commander of the Black Sea Fleet, Igor Osipov, who was wounded on the cruiser Moskva and fell into disgrace.
Putin is the sole beneficiary of the system of power in Russia, and the “managed chaos” he brings into this system is also an integral part of it. Putin’s departure will leave chaos in the system, which no one will control, and the END will come to the system. Soon. Save yourself, the system cannot be saved.