Of course, replacing the battery after 3 or 4 years kind of eats those savings up, doesn't it.
“Of course, replacing the battery after 3 or 4 years kind of eats those savings up, doesn’t it.”
Battery will last about 20 years.
The last gen Tesla packs go 300,000 plus in heavy duty commercial services with 10% pack degradation. 20% is the replacement point. Look at these commercial services vehicles the model S is.Absolutely abused in a way no normal driver would multiple super charges per day and constant discharge. The first pack made it top 196,000 with 6% loss after that kind of abuse. It was warranted out.
https://electrek.co/2018/07/17/tesla-model-s-holds-up-400000-miles-3-years/
Currently Tesla packs are being switched to Modular so individual cell modules can be replaced not the whole pack. Tesla is designing the model 3 for taxi use with a million mile pack and if any individual module goes under 20%. Tesla is already the world leader in the $/kwh metric and they are dropping fast they plan to use GigaAustin to break the $65 barrier before 2025.
This is the tech tesla is moving too. 20000 cycle life or more.
“Back in October, the head of Tesla’s battery research team, Jeff Dahn, shared some details of his research during an Energy Storage & Sustainable Engineering videoconference. Dahn revealed that, after three years of testing, he found that his cells had a lifespan of over two million miles. He has tested his battery over 20,000 cycles at a depth of charge-discharge of 100%, and found that his battery can last 15,000 cycles and still have 90% of its capacity. If we multiply 15,000 by his estimated driving range of 217 miles, we get 3.25 million miles in the worst-case scenario, which is when the battery fully discharged and charged every cycle. Therefore, Tesla’s progress in obtaining a battery that lasts a million miles is obvious.”
China is not far behind they have production ready 16 year calender life cells.
https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1128429_battery-giant-catl-million-mile-batteries-tesla
Its not if but when EVs dominate the market. There is a transition happening as sure and as fast as the first industrial revolution. Buggy whip makers and stage coach salesmen were luddites don’t be those guys in 2022. Welcome to the 21st century it’s gonna be a exciting one.