Yeah, maybe. You could easily be right.
The most aspirational thing one could hope for is breaking the supermajority of the far left.
Talking about the Rapture, CRT, the futility of Electric vehicles, or bashing LGBTQ issues is NOT going to win, period, in any but a VERY few districts. Talking about infrastructure, pocketbook issues, and balancing the economy and the environment can win, if the person can sound halfway sane.
I think you are at best only maybe 25% right.
CRT and keeping the cost of energy down are issues that have proven to move voters more than “infrastructure”, which more excites the bloodsucker investor class than Joe and Juan Lunchpail.
There may be more social-issue Juan voters than you realize out there. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a candidate talking about the Rapture. (I’m not sure how they could do so while still trying to tell voters that getting to the polls matters.)