I got bashed for saying EV’s will be 50% market share by 2030.
It’s basically guaranteed. Just watch the trends. It won’t need force, just market powers.
You mean Government powers to tax the hell out of gasoline and ICE cars.
I was looking at Ford's F-150 Lightning, but they're now expecting $75K for the 300 mile version. Nope. That's too much. I'll keep buying an old used pickup truck every 5 years or so until that price comes way down.
“I got bashed for saying EV’s will be 50% market share by 2030.
It’s basically guaranteed. Just watch the trends. It won’t need force, just market powers.”
Agreed
I’d like to get one, but still a bit too expensive to justify for my use, at this time. But it’s getting there.
Electric is a goood choice for a whole bucnch of people; Short commutes, two or more car families, secure garage for charging all make it an easy choice.
Also great for delivery, post office (many areas, not all), local governments, local schools, college on-campus transport,
Definitely not for everybody.
Where is the electric gonna come from? Same place it comes from now, and more. If you are worried about electric, there will be more issues to deal with than EV.
Trends... Market forces... You are logical and able to see coming change. There is often a transition product during a disruption (hybrid). IIRC Clay Christiansen’s adoption formula shows it — New_tech_users/Old_tech_users plotted on log graph gives a straight line.
and govt subsidies
“I got bashed for saying EV’s will be 50% market share by 2030.
It’s basically guaranteed. Just watch the trends. It won’t need force, just market powers.”
The range will have to increase to 450 miles and the charging time will have to decrease to 5-7 minutes before I will seriously consider replacing both of our ICE cars with EVs. As others here have said, it may make sense to have one EV for local use in a two-car household. That may be how EVs get to 50% market share eventually.