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To: muffaletaman

The tornado outbreak series of May 1896 killed almost 500 people, when the population was MUCH lower. One storm that hit St. Louis + East St. Louis killed 255 people on its own.


Yes, but you can’t compare because todays warning system is obviously much better and also better construction of buildings

We may have reached the “average” tornado fatality minimum because warning times can’t get much better and like you pointed out population is increasing

also Tornado alley seems to have shifted east in recent decades (not from climate change likely just natural cycles) over higher population centers then the central plains

in 2011 all of this lined up perfectly in AL with that huge outbreak and then again in Joplin MO

The Plainfield IL F5 tornado in 1990 killed 28 people but much of the area it hit was just farm fields . Today those same farm fields are miles and miles of homes due to growth in the southwest burbs of Chicago the past 30 years


16 posted on 12/19/2021 11:49:48 AM PST by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998
I didn't mention forecasting now being better because obviously there was no weather forecasting as is currently done in 1896 (Farmer's Almanac et al notwithstanding...). My point was that for people to claim this unprecedented and due to climate change and will be a new norm, is just silly.

"The latest estimates place the death count from last week’s tornado event at 88, a figure that may still rise. The number of fatalities indicates tragedy without very much modern precedent, a stark deviation from recent tornado outbreaks in which there was considerably less loss of life." - Washington Post - 12/17/2021

Tornado fatalities by year.

2021 - 104 to date

2020 - 76

2019 - 41

2018 - 10

2017 - 35

2016 - 18

2015 - 36

2014 - 47

2013 - 55

2012 - 68

2011 - 553

2010 - 45

2009 - 21

2008 -126

"In general, making generalizations is always a mistake..." :^D

28 posted on 12/23/2021 6:10:08 PM PST by muffaletaman (IMNSHO - I MIGHT be wrong, but I doubt it.)
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