I know it’s early, but I think it will be hard to beat memaw. Decatur Alabama here
There are three characters I’d watch in this race (Blanchard, Ivey, and Tim James). I don’t want to insult James too much (son of Fob James) but he’s run before and just not done much to attract voters. He might be able to get 15-percent of the voters, and keep Ivey and Blanchard at 40-percent each.
This will go off to a primary run-off, where I think Trump’s visits to the states will matter....derailing Ivey...helping Blanchard and probably Mo (his race for Senator). If Trump weren’t in the situation...Ivey might just say little to nothing and go campaign-lite.