At this point in time, I would not bet the farm on Zeldin or even the chicken house.
The election is still 13 months out. That is a lifetime in politics. Plus, New York has pretty much perfected the Democrat Hustle. The ‘49 Plymouth Business Coupe has been scrapped out in favor of the Ballot Press which can turn out a hundred or a thousand or a million ballots in a couple of hours. The fastest high speed press in the world.
No Republican can win governor in NY.