Posted on 08/26/2021 2:34:38 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Puddin’ Head Joe has more important things to ponder. Like vanilla or butterscotch. Priorities.
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
11:00 PM NHC Discussion:
As Ida continues to intensify over the Gulf of Mexico, an expansion
of its wind field is predicted. The NHC wind radii forecast is
largely based on the radii consensus, and winds of at least tropical
storm force are likely to reach the coast Sunday morning. Therefore,
all preparations to protect life and property for this dangerous
event need to be made on Saturday.
There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
Sunday along the coasts of Louisiana and Mississippi within the
Storm Surge Warning area. Extremely life-threatening inundation of
10 to 15 feet above ground level is possible within the area from
Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Mouth of the Mississippi River.
Hurricane-force winds are expected Sunday in portions of the Hurricane
Warning area along the Louisiana coast, including metropolitan New
Orleans, with potentially catastrophic wind damage possible where the
core of Ida moves onshore. Actions to protect life and property should
be rushed to completion in the warning area.
It appears Katrina wants a sweet 16 party.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Advisory Number 8...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
400 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021
Corrected Storm Surge Hazard Section
...IDA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...
...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY BEFORE REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
The Government of Cuba has discontinued all warnings for Cuba.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* East of Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge Louisiana to the
Mississippi/Alabama border
* Vermilion Bay, Lake Borgne, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to the Mouth of the Pearl River
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Sabine Pass to Rockefeller Wildlife Refuge Louisiana
* Mobile Bay
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cameron Louisiana to west of Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama border
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cameron Louisiana to west of Intracoastal City Louisiana
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Mississippi/Alabama border
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama border to the Alabama/Florida border
A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
Interests elsewhere along the northern U.S. Gulf coast should
monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 24 to 36
hours and Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major
hurricane when it approaches the northern Gulf coast on Sunday.
Weakening is expected after Ida makes landfall.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River...10-15 ft
Mouth of the Mississippi River to Ocean Springs, MS including Lake
Borgne...7-11 ft
Intracoastal City, LA to Morgan City, LA including Vermilion
Bay...6-9 ft
Ocean Springs, MS to MS/AL border...4-7 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...4-7 ft
Lake Maurepas...3-5 ft
Pecan Island, LA to Intracoastal City, LA...3-5 ft
MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay...2-4 ft
Sabine Pass to Pecan Island, LA...2-4 ft
Overtopping of local levees outside of the Hurricane and Storm
Damage Risk Reduction System is possible where local inundation
values may be higher than those shown above.
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and dangerous waves. Surge-related flooding
depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle,
and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area along the northern Gulf coast beginning Sunday with tropical
storm conditions expected to begin by late Saturday night or early
Sunday morning. These conditions will spread inland over portions
of Louisiana and Mississippi Sunday night and Monday. Gusty winds
are possible over portions of western Cuba and the Florida Keys
this morning.
RAINFALL: Ida will continue to lift north of Cuba this morning
bringing an additional 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum
amounts of 6 inches across western Cuba through today. These
rainfall amounts may produce flash floods and mudslides.
As Ida moves into the Louisiana coast late Sunday, total rainfall
accumulations of 8 to 16 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 20
inches are possible across southeast Louisiana and southern
Mississippi through Monday. This is likely to result in significant
flash and riverine flooding impacts.
Ida is forecast to turn northeast as it moves inland later Monday,
with rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches possible from northeastern
Louisiana and central Mississippi into the Tennessee Valley. This is
likely to result in considerable flash and riverine flooding
impacts.
TORNADOES: A few tornadoes will be possible Sunday through early
Monday across southeast Louisiana and southern Mississippi.
SURF: Swells generated by Ida will continue to affect western Cuba
through Saturday morning. Swells will begin reaching portions of
the northern Gulf coast Saturday night or early Sunday. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
If a hurricane is far out to sea and moving slower, there's more time for areas potentially threatened by the storm to prepare. But when a storm slows down near or over land, its impacts are not only prolonged, but also greatly amplified. In September 2019, Hurricane Dorian exploded into a Category 5 hurricane as it approached the northwestern Bahamas.
https://weather.com/safety/hurricane/news/2020-06-18-hurricane-tropical-storm-forward-speed-fast-slow ....................
We are getting a piece of the storm now in the lower Keys,I'll be in Marathon in a few hours,I'll see what it looks like. Of course so few data buoys actually give out data we may never know.
Wow- thanks! I looked at that bridge- holy cow. It seems that whole area is always changing. We’ll see what this storm does.
So the socialist mayor,dem/rat,of New Orleans says there is not enough time to evacuate!! who knew? Sound familiar? We just killed a lot of peopole in Afghanistan from more dem/rat mgmt. who did not like Trumps plan to be out of afghanistan by may 31.Trump of course had the military leaving last after everyone else in harms way was oud. When the O biden adm. was asked what their plan was for leaving Afghanistan and when they would submit it they had no clue.They eve refused to submit one.
A bit slow on the take to get people out of harms way. But wait! Why not elect the same people again?!!That'll work.
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
When is high tide? How long a period of time is considered high tide with a higher surge? How much of a difference in surge feet does high tide cause?
That’s for sure,any good lawyer should be able to make a case for at least a partial evacuation of NO days before Ida got even close.NO is under sea level a direct hit is a crap shoot that the pumps will remove all the water.
time for a good law team to do their job.
It has to lose intensity if it slows down its forward speed, as the fuel source, warm water, is cut off for a longer period of time from the land it is approaching.
Hurricanes draw in energy from up to 500 miles out from warm (over 80F) seawater. As the hurricanes approach cooler water or land, there is no heat and moisture to be drawn in from that side.
The slower the hurricane goes, the longer the energy is being cut off from one side, thus the weaker it becomes. That’s why in the past , hurricanes that have been approaching as a Cat 5 will often drop to say a 3 by the time they make landfall.
However, like I said, that means longer time over which a lot of rain can fall, so the tradeoff is a strong storm in terms of wind and storm surge damage for a more likely flooding event.
Three major New Orleans Sewerage & Water Board pumps were down ahead of Ida, officials said, including two in Lakeview and one in New Orleans East.
Cantrell said the state had signed contracts with 125 coach buses in the event of a post-storm evacuation, which could be triggered by a combination of infrastructure damage and power outages.
Cantrell said a shelter location is being prepared for people who cannot evacuate but who do not want to shelter in their homes. Cantrell said she would share more details on the location of that shelter soon.
Not gonna happen. The president is not a republican so this storm will be mush milder. /s
If it doesn't make the news, it didn't happen. Are they mad enough about Kabul to hit biden hard on Ida response?
So the storm will make landfall at lower tide? How significant, damage wise, is that?
looks like Katrina wants a sweet 16 party
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