I appreciate what you’re saying but the GOP will pull out all the stops to save her because she’s from party “royalty”. And she’s a reliable Swamp creature who can be counted on to fight against the populists.
The party propagandists will put out some slick videos and ads for her that make her look like she’s fighting for her state every minute of the day. They will also paint her opponents as lightweights with zero experience and all manner of personal shortcomings. The usual political hit jobs on steroids.
Allowing a high profile person like Cheney to be defeated bigly would be a blow to the party’s image. The GOP (and big money) will do everything it can to defend her seat.
You may be right but Republican voters are pretty gullible. We’ll see.
The national party might, but the state party has already spoken with their repudiation of her. She could run into a burning house at this point and save a boatload of Trump supporters from certain death and it wouldn’t salvage her reelection. She is done.
As an aside, I think when it seeps into her head just how massively unpopular she is, she may simply announce her retirement. This happened before. When she floated her name in 2014 as a “serious” candidate to challenge then-Sen. Mike Enzi (claiming she was “more Conservative”, which we debunked then as absurd) and polling indicated she would lose, she then decided not to run. I cannot see her wanting to risk absolute humiliation by what will be a massive landslide loss next year.