There are two white beads “in tandem” on the underside of the wrist. Same as the two beads “in tandem” in the shooting photo.
What type of bead pattern is on the unobserved side of the wrist?
A bracelet match is indeed compelling evidence but all of the known factors taken in totality make for a more convincing claim.
Your dispute is fair and noted, but no more conclusive than anyway else’s.
But Political Junkie Too made the best argument that Bailey wasn't the shooter in his post 41 that I didn't see when I made my own post.
The shooter is a balding white male.
Here's PJ's pic reproduced below: