[alexander_busek]

Let's say it kills 0.1% of the population. If it killed people averaging 60 years old that would reduce average lifespan by about .02 years. Where does the remaining 1.11 years come from?

No, sorry, that is a far too simplistic view. The actual math is quite different.

Regards,

[KarlInOhio]

No, sorry, that is a far too simplistic view. The actual math is quite different.

Then how would it be 55x worse than my back of the envelope estimate? Even if COVID killed infants rather than old people, then a 0.1% death rate would amount to only a 0.1% reduction in average life span or about 0.08 years.

Are there other effects like people putting off cancer diagnostics and treatment? Are some people permanently crippled by COVID and will die early? Yes, certainly for both, but I want numbers other than tossing out a 1.13 year reduction in lifespan without explaining it.

This reminds me of the Fair Tax where my numbers did not come anywhere close to the official ones from proponents. It turned out they had hidden a major assumption in their calculations.