Both races are very close. I’m waiting for the counts to be stopped due to another broken watermain.
Both races are very close. I’m waiting for the counts to be stopped due to another broken watermain.
With 50% of the estimated total vote counted, 90% of the votes were early votes, not election day votes. Unlike in November, the early votes were processed ahead of election day. The ballots were imaged but not counted. When the polls closed, what remained to do with those votes was to run the tabulating program to count them. Unlike November, the mail-in ballots are being counted first.
The early vote was estimated to be 72% of the total vote. If 90% of the first 50% of the vote was early vote, 45 of 50 votes counted at the halfway mark were early votes which leaned Democrat. If the early vote is to be 72% of the total vote, 27 of each 50 remaining votes would make the early vote equal 72% of the total vote.
What was counted at the halfway point was 9 to 1 early votes, resulting in Democrat leads. In the remaining half of the vote, it is approximately 27-23 early vote to election day vote, or nearly 1 to 1. The Republicans are presumed to have a strong advantage in the election day vote.
It’s still early but may trending to a Republican victory.