But... but... the media is telling me the numbers are spiking all over the country! You don’t mean to tell that... the media... is lying?!?!
There certainly have been spikes all over the country.
They’re just ratcheting the figures one way, and ignoring that in many of those places there is a fall from a peak soon thereafter while a spike happens in a different place.
I’d bet that if you looked granularly enough, that you’d see genuinely very high infection rates in a small area - so high that it effectively closes itself off from other groups, and *locally* exhausts itself. It also looks like these micro-surges aren’t really well correlated negatively to masks or lockdowns.
“the numbers are spiking all over the country! “
One of my daughters works for Duke Hospital. She says they are operating normally.